Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.159614 0.184591 0.212162 0.244850 0.282549 0.324670 0.375315
2025-11-23 0.119499 0.152802 0.193336 0.246295 0.313685 0.396617 0.506527
2025-11-30 0.098860 0.135561 0.183370 0.250198 0.341244 0.461057 0.630944
2025-12-07 0.081955 0.118989 0.169985 0.245313 0.353822 0.504646 0.730627
2025-12-14 0.069988 0.106777 0.159933 0.242297 0.366816 0.548284 0.833476
2025-12-21 0.062195 0.099191 0.154995 0.245244 0.387702 0.604287 0.959503
2025-12-28 0.057758 0.095918 0.155780 0.256445 0.421723 0.682876 1.128163
2026-01-04 0.053119 0.091587 0.154167 0.263279 0.449079 0.753329 1.291114
2026-01-11 0.048964 0.087442 0.152205 0.269012 0.474820 0.823272 1.460282
2026-01-18 0.044780 0.082668 0.148519 0.271148 0.494285 0.884161 1.619903
2026-01-25 0.040301 0.076784 0.142160 0.267663 0.503125 0.927031 1.751504
2026-02-01 0.035769 0.070236 0.133829 0.259509 0.502297 0.952060 1.852407
2026-02-08 0.033525 0.067834 0.132997 0.265553 0.529170 1.031568 2.066485
2026-02-15 0.030961 0.064505 0.130044 0.267170 0.547704 1.097328 2.261554
2026-02-22 0.028971 0.062078 0.128539 0.271402 0.571716 1.175890 2.490351
2026-03-01 0.026233 0.057759 0.122734 0.266104 0.575514 1.214165 2.640087
2026-03-08 0.023992 0.054232 0.118160 0.262834 0.583092 1.260721 2.811994
2026-03-15 0.022544 0.052271 0.116674 0.266030 0.604864 1.339161 3.061265
2026-03-22 0.021939 0.052133 0.119119 0.278176 0.647673 1.467139 3.434345
2026-03-29 0.021000 0.051112 0.119476 0.285586 0.680489 1.576242 3.776026
2026-04-05 0.020041 0.049931 0.119336 0.291803 0.711152 1.683447 4.124663
2026-04-12 0.018896 0.048166 0.117644 0.294119 0.732758 1.771804 4.437665
2026-04-19 0.017473 0.045545 0.113634 0.290340 0.739123 1.824744 4.669766